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From the Blog View all →
Science
Can We Predict Earthquakes? The Honest Answer

In 1975, China predicted the Haicheng earthquake and saved thousands of lives. One year later, Tangshan — 240,000 dead, zero warning. Japan ran the world's most serious prediction program for 50 years, then quietly abandoned it in 2017.

Science
The Earthquake Directly Below Tokyo

The Japanese government puts a 70% probability on a major earthquake directly beneath Tokyo in the next 30 years. 23,000 deaths. ¥95 trillion in damage. Here is the official worst-case scenario.

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